Reflecting-Compress
0xc32627b7c3cbeb32cdbac29a71dbe78a08be449f
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-575.02
Realised
$-25.04
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11765 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
7278 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1346 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
1184 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
1110 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.01Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$70.57Jul 5, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$35.77Jul 5, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00Jul 5, 21:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$105.00Jul 4, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$105.39Jul 4, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$105.82Jul 4, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$105.31Jul 4, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$205.90Jul 4, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$19.4KJun 30, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$8.9KJun 30, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $524.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 13:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.