Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.9pp
24h
-5.3pp
24h Vol
$176.25
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+7.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3063.7h
- 08:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3064h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 11¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 13¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 14¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 13¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.7pp
to 13¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.2pp
to 13¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 14¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 18¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.6pp
to 17¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 6¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 20¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.7pp
to 22¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 21¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.8pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.8pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.6pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.8pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.1pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.8pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.8pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 7¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 7¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Drake's new album 'Iceman' is expected to release in the summer of 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Drake's album 'Iceman', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Iceman' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).