Grand-Restoration
0xc34a4af2e3a818fdcdfaa7b5b140eca017ae6007
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$61.32
Realised
$-191.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
1500 shares @ 92.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$76.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
650 shares @ 93.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$633.42
$28.13
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 42.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$625.00
$203.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
958 shares @ 38.5¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$349.56
$-18.68
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
400 shares @ 58.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$306.00
$74.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$283.50
$4.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
250 shares @ 64.8¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$183.63
$21.53
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
280 shares @ 77.1¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$124.52
$-91.18
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
12000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$90.00
$-34.79
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
200 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.78
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$61.60Jun 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?$0.67Jun 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?$9.00Jun 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$3.50Jun 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$4.90Jun 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.55Jun 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.55Jun 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$58.05Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$70.95Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$138.00Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$116.00Jun 13, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$200.00Jun 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$279.00Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$24.15Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$114.00Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$80.45Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$12.27Jun 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$6.13Jun 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$12.26Jun 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.58Jun 12, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $381.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.