Important-Kinase
0xc34b01c51c987180f19242bc45c8044ab476cbe2
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$71.4K
Total PnL
$241.16
Realised
$39.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
50285 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$50.1K
$125.71
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
8355 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$8.2K
$45.87
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
6046 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$5.8K
$35.48
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
1793 shares @ 94.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$-0.32
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
1446 shares @ 89.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$1.3K
$11.01
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1478 shares @ 87.5¢·now 86.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-18.48
- NO
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
1289 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$8.43
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
1394 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-27.87
- NO
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
305 shares @ 88.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$280.60
$11.15
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$274.50
$10.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$50.0KJul 27, 08:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$1.2KJul 25, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$220.39Jul 25, 02:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$29.88Jul 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$34.15Jul 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$181.37Jul 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$17.83Jul 23, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$4.80Jul 23, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$4.10Jul 23, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$7.97Jul 23, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.04Jul 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$138.21Jul 23, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$71.21Jul 23, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.00Jul 23, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.