Scientific-Node
0xc381f8931a266c8cf678532b20b17909c5e7a661
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.4K
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
8361 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.3K
$53.43
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
26 shares @ 19.4¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.36
$-1.64
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
2195000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
2068000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
32806 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
7063 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
6862 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
2486 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-175.41
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
440 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?$1.2KJul 30, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?$8.77Jul 29, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.8KJul 24, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$7.97Jul 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.4KJul 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$341.33Jul 22, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$99.00Jul 22, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$592.66Jul 22, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$8.3KJul 22, 01:41 UTC
- REWARD$2.73Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$7.6KJul 9, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$619.83Jul 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$47.99Jul 8, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$186.73Jul 8, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$1.27Jul 8, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$100.00Jul 8, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$16.5KJul 8, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$19.92Jul 7, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$0.18Jul 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$26.57Jul 7, 12:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 03:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.