Leading-Carotene
0xc3880bc5ba187a4e87f28ad0fe7865063c8e8d61
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$7.07
Total PnL
$-82.72
Realised
$4.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
13 shares @ 30.8¢·now 54.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.07
$3.07
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
2333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 12?
225 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 23?
175 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in December?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iraq next?
139 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$6.07Apr 23, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.28Apr 8, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.00Apr 7, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.00Apr 7, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$3.43Mar 25, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Mar 23, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$3.00Mar 9, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$42.13Mar 7, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".