Flowery-Misreading
0xc3907f00ba3fd35ef96c3b9afa1483b644af2a1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$17.0K
Total PnL
$-30.9K
Realised
$-429.17
Win rate
41%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
17312 shares @ 31.6¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$6.1K
$584.98
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
8307 shares @ 57.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.2K
$-566.20
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
12764 shares @ 18.3¢·now 21.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$382.40
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
4742 shares @ 22.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-61.89
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
4991 shares @ 45.3¢·now 10.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$501.62
$-1.8K
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
1900 shares @ 27.9¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$456.00
$-74.98
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
1000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$300.00
$29.83
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
750 shares @ 39.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$281.25
$-15.75
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
200 shares @ 64.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$199.90
$70.90
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2233 shares @ 19.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.17
$-290.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$11.46Jul 29, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$19.70Jul 29, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$11.32Jul 29, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$33.73Jul 29, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$352.00Jul 29, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$91.67Jul 29, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$21.39Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$47.14Jul 29, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$3.16Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$2.39Jul 28, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$25.29Jul 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$54.37Jul 28, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$48.48Jul 28, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$21.07Jul 28, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$0.93Jul 28, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$21.18Jul 28, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$8.93Jul 28, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$62.94Jul 28, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$81.31Jul 28, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $65.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.