Busy-Blossom-Remark
0xc3a514df90c08ee49b63edee2cd552fb1450534c
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.9K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
5%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
11250 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-334.99
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?
4935 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-249.99
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
3566 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-291.68
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
3538 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?
2211 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
1946 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-149.72
- YES
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
1899 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- HEROIC ACADEMY
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
1854 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-363.18
- KARMINE CORP BLUE
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs
1783 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-320.00
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
1771 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-83.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.04Jul 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$209.55Jul 11, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$274.99Jul 11, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$150.00Jul 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?$636.31Jul 11, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Spain leading at halftime?$15.24Jul 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.32Jul 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$15.73Jul 10, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.01Jul 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.37Jul 10, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$35.90Jul 10, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$21.08Jul 10, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$21.74Jul 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$20.11Jul 10, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$26.03Jul 10, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.97Jul 10, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.65Jul 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$15.39Jul 10, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00Jul 10, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$26.80Jul 10, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $159.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.