Lazy-Badger
0xc3ce67d590a569bc7da46a693e047bb5c749f646
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$17.1K
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$72.89
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
15000 shares @ 84.8¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.3K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
748 shares @ 85.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$730.42
$87.82
- NO
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
500 shares @ 80.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$494.25
$94.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
462 shares @ 85.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$451.37
$56.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$390.40
$66.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
350 shares @ 86.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$342.48
$40.48
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$254.00
$34.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$95.00
$-725.00
- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
300 shares @ 24.3¢·now 10.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$30.30
$-42.70
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
170 shares @ 49.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$9.35
$-73.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.20Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $101.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 03:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.