Impish-Cupola
0xc4060c56e592b8bced314246f6bf6e82fedcba02
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$790.71
Total PnL
$-876.88
Realised
$51.29
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
3202 shares @ 14.9¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$352.22
$-126.78
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
840 shares @ 22.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.57
$-68.80
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
4853 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.85
$-109.14
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
1000 shares @ 15.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.02
$-68.97
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
2033 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.32
$-41.68
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
165 shares @ 16.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.64
$-1.36
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
183 shares @ 17.4¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.34
$-13.68
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
587 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.41
$-20.59
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$122.00Jun 3, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $33.00Jun 3, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$8.69May 28, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$34.00May 21, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $180.00May 12, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.1KMay 12, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$55.20May 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.2KMay 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $6.37May 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$21.00May 11, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$35.00May 9, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $31.02May 9, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $180.00May 9, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.99May 9, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00May 9, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$4.18May 9, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$3.15May 9, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$4.0KMay 9, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?$2.05May 2, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$1.00May 2, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $204.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.