Fluffy-Mile
0xc406807450bd227a9caeda48f472e8374d7b2d56
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$128.01
Total PnL
$-40.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
44 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
22 shares @ 91.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.77
$0.77
- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
21 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.87
$-2.33
- NO
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
15 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.13
$-0.17
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 95.0¢·now 87.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.84
$-1.16
- NO
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
13 shares @ 98.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$8.39
$-4.61
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
7 shares @ 82.3¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.92
$-4.48
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06?
15 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$44.00May 31, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$20.55May 31, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$41.08May 31, 16:52 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Mar 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$40.00Mar 11, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$11.12Mar 11, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$14.06Mar 11, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?$30.05Mar 11, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $3B one day after launch?$11.00Feb 2, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $5.40Feb 2, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?$18.20Feb 2, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?$14.30Feb 2, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?$29.60Feb 2, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$20.00Feb 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?$14.00Feb 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$20.00Feb 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$14.00Feb 2, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angers SCO win on 2026-01-17?$11.90Feb 2, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-23?$12.09Feb 2, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill SBV Excelsior win on 2025-12-14?$12.90Feb 2, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $17.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.