Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $12.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".