Extraneous-Coat
0xc41e0a02221efce1a7c8a41cb49bce9573ee0d40
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$20.26
Total PnL
$-2.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Paul Skenes win the 2025 NL Cy Young?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) win Best Actress – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.00Feb 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?$1.00Feb 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?$1.00Jan 28, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$1.00Jan 22, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.00Jan 5, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$1.00Dec 24, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) win Best Actress – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Dec 9, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$1.00Nov 19, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 12, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Nov 5, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$1.00Oct 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$1.00Oct 22, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 15, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Lynx make the playoffs?$1.01Oct 8, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?$1.00Oct 8, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$1.00Sep 24, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Sep 11, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Sep 3, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".