Clueless-Mouse
0xc4213fc8c8dc0164fb5353a1885754b280bfa913
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.67
Total PnL
$-30.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Park Maeng-woo win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
891 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
211 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 28?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 10?
187 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 14?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.29Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half$1.04Jul 19, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.05Jul 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.51Jul 12, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 12, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$1.04Jul 11, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$3.24Jul 11, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 7, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 7, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 7, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 7, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 7, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.02Jul 7, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 21, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 28?$1.05May 28, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 28, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.05May 19, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.