Frightening-Naturalisation
0xc426347e9f407ffe6fc997b65189b05d129469d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$280.31
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$15.76
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1602 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$280.31
$-40.04
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2301 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1999 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
1196 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
1113 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
748 shares @ 80.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$330.60Jun 2, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?$49.31Jun 2, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$19.69Jun 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.98Jun 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.53Jun 2, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$2.37Jun 2, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$69.98Jun 2, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.93Jun 2, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.98Jun 2, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$51.28Jun 2, 05:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $68.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".