Candid-Outline
0xc43374565479ed6f60ec9d299ec52361f8652937
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-332.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
470 shares @ 74.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$336.24
$-13.76
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
370 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$201.85
$1.85
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
800 shares @ 21.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$140.00
$-29.00
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$65.00
$2.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
67 shares @ 84.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.26
$3.86
- NO
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.00
$3.80
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$35.71
$15.71
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1814 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.75
$21.75
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.32
$5.32
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
21 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$20.86
$0.85
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$20.00May 27, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$20.00May 27, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $33.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.