Fatal-Folklore
0xc434a633458202548b41559479a839f79be67003
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-353.24
Realised
$-2.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on October 31?
520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PAKISTAN
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)
517 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
213 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.95
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
198 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$5.10Apr 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.21Apr 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$40.07Apr 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22?$5.00Apr 22, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$10.08Apr 4, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.08Apr 4, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.08Apr 1, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$7.55Mar 24, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$4.00Mar 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?$6.57Mar 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?$2.00Mar 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?$2.00Mar 17, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?$2.00Mar 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$17.62Mar 17, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$3.00Mar 17, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?$6.34Mar 15, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?$4.82Mar 14, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.17Mar 14, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$1.57Mar 14, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".