Bitter-Treat
0xc4439174a5d5f821e173ce86def1d86c3145f19f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-463.1K
Realised
$-156.9K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 16.1¢·now 33.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.1K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18750 shares @ 10.7¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$-909.37
- YES
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
686621 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-301.4K
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62982 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2313 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-786.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.29Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jun 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.89Jun 19, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$5.97Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$10.60Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.71Jun 18, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.71Jun 18, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $49.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.