Buoyant-Leg
0xc450dbfb97b23fb78ebacb4aa01b162e6aa4a5b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-24.43
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Score
1027 shares @ 54.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$1.0K
$468.31
- NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
462 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$462.00
$203.28
- CAMPBELL FIGHTING CAMELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
749 shares @ 86.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$374.50
$-269.64
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
370 shares @ 74.2¢·now 52.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$193.14
$-81.40
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
4 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.00
$2.40
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1237 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-272.14
- OVER
Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5
895 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-366.95
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
568 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-142.00
- NO
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
561 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-61.71
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?
467 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-130.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$819.00Apr 27, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$666.00Apr 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$104.80Apr 21, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$364.27Apr 21, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$196.71Apr 11, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYQuerétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Score$403.65Apr 7, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYQuerétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Score$155.04Apr 7, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$274.54Apr 7, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$398.16Apr 7, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMEureka Red Devils vs. Indiana State Sycamores (W)$29.00Apr 7, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$100.00Apr 7, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$117.00Apr 7, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMColorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)$131.00Apr 7, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$172.00Apr 7, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-03-22?$240.00Apr 7, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$6.40Mar 30, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$265.92Mar 30, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$170.51Mar 30, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$173.40Mar 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$280.83Mar 29, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $268.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.