Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Probability
40¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+2.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 40¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 23.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6007.9h
- 21:05SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 37¢.
Biggest hourly move: -9.7pp at 3d ago (to 36¢).
Show all 27 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +4.5pp → 40¢
- 08:00 · -5.6pp → 35¢
- 06:00 · +4.4pp → 41¢
- 02:00 · +3.4pp → 40¢
- 00:00 · -3.4pp → 37¢
- 1d ago · -3.8pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -6.3pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · -5.3pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -6.3pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · -3.9pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -5.8pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -6.2pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -3.8pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -6.2pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -5.3pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -6.6pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -3.9pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -5.4pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -7.2pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · -7.7pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -4.6pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -6.2pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -7.8pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -6.7pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -5.7pp → 37¢
- 3d ago · -9.7pp → 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryCoinbase (exchange price)TypeExchange priceConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (23.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.