Ancient-Escape
0xc455f925e97ad17f694acc0962103bf363f74c21
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.82
Total PnL
$-14.68
Realised
$4.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5)
945 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
9 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DPLUS KIA
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.00Feb 6, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$1.00Jan 31, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.63Jan 30, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$2.00Jan 26, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.29Jan 24, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?$1.15Jan 23, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?$1.00Jan 23, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?$1.00Jan 22, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$0.43Jan 21, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?$1.32Jan 21, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$1.00Jan 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.26Jan 20, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.25Jan 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)$1.00Jan 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: HLE (-1.5)$1.00Jan 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.06Jan 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 18, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.