Bumpy-Ceremony
0xc46832d39eff14beb7a3e4a6403266fe62ed6e84
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$14.58
Total PnL
$-63.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 10?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$7.35
$2.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 11?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 11?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$1.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 12?
32 shares @ 12.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.76
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 11?
65 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.74
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 10?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.23
$-4.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 10?
36 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.02
$-4.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 10?
26 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.01
$-3.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?
51 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on April 13?
45 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 11?$3.131h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 12?$2.989h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 12?$1.049h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 11?$2.099h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 11?$5.229h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 10?$5.1610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 11?$1.3610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 10?$5.221d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 10?$5.142d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 10?$3.552d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 6?$42.604d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?$14.294d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 6?$14.254d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 6?$7.905d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 6?$5.225d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 6?$10.155d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?$10.155d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 19?$9.0520d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?$4.0021d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 31d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
