Conventional-Infusion-Boom
0xc47514f5c9010bcca61a15b914e280eba4bb8eef
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$662.40
Total PnL
$-385.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- JOSE MIGUEL DELGADO
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)
641 shares @ 49.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$304.29
$-10.25
- NO
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
110 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$88.55
$-2.75
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
91 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$73.25
$-1.36
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
94 shares @ 84.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$59.69
$-19.27
- NO
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
71 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$42.24
$-3.19
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 55.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$33.70
$0.60
- NO
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
71 shares @ 62.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.30
$-11.71
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
141 shares @ 17.9¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.45
$-0.79
- NO
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 19.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$2.27
$-3.26
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.65
$-1.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$78.77Jul 14, 04:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$84.34Jul 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$84.34Jul 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$90.48Jul 13, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$90.00Jul 13, 16:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)$322.54Jul 12, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ goals$85.00Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$74.52Jul 11, 15:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$43.43Jul 10, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5$74.00Jul 10, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$70.84Jul 10, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$41.86Jul 10, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays$42.85Jul 10, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$13.93Jul 10, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$2.40Jul 10, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$2.40Jul 10, 05:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $49.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.