Responsible-Uplift
0xc47ade490603097808842465468da6d98e2bf33c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$126.02
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.27
$1.27
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.80
$0.60
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$14.30
$0.50
- YES
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
14 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.39
$0.64
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
13 shares @ 88.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.73
$0.90
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$0.30
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.95
$0.65
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.83
$0.43
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.65
$0.35
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.55
$-1.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$13.80Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$15.20Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$7.30Jun 11, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$10.00Jun 10, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 10, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$8.90Jun 9, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.95Jun 5, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.75Jun 4, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$7.60Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.17Jun 3, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.13Jun 2, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$8.60Jun 2, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$7.80Jun 2, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.40Jun 2, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?$9.33Jun 2, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$9.99Jun 2, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.00Jun 2, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.00Jun 2, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00Jun 2, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$20.00Jun 2, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $8.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.