Prickly-Grandpa
0xc47b42777a613554f2eecf76eff2f54e54d9d74f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.3K
Realised
$7.2K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
813866 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-813.87
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
800000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-12.2K
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
265242 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
100933 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-34.4K
- NO
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
66787 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
26817 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
19950 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.7K
- YES
Trump blowout victory?
19636 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-176.73
- NO
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?
399 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-75.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$274.03Dec 21, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tennessee make the CFP National Championship Game?$12.65Dec 21, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.6KDec 21, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$238.07Dec 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$21.61Dec 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.05Dec 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$2.00Dec 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$12.90Dec 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$25.83Dec 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$21.91Dec 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.05Dec 17, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.05Dec 17, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.05Dec 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.06Dec 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.02Dec 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.05Dec 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.05Dec 17, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.05Dec 17, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.05Dec 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.05Dec 17, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $44.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".