0xc49224eb3179ae39a0536159f3bec71888ce509d
0xc49224eb3179ae39a0536159f3bec71888ce509d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$29.85
Total PnL
$-18.88
Realised
$3.09
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
13 shares @ 63.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$12.87
$4.72
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
47 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
4 shares @ 77.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$3.79
$0.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
13 shares @ 42.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.58
$-1.79
- NO
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.28
$0.39
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.33
$0.10
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
423 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
281 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
26 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
- NO
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
7 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$1.28Feb 10, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.82Feb 9, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.82Feb 9, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.93Feb 9, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.07Feb 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.18Feb 8, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.81Feb 1, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$0.16Feb 1, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$0.07Feb 1, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.16Jan 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.02Jan 31, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".