Smug-Decisionmaking
0xc49d89e206fa8e1fc8c7e5d148ba171e5cd53d11
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.21
Total PnL
$-14.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 23, 2027$2.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?
24 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?$3.04Jun 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 4, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 4, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$14.71Feb 1, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?$4.00Jan 24, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$10.00Jan 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 24, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 03:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 15:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.