Ample-Formula
0xc4a4dcedd71e18a7bc7359e6cc1e9030717ffdc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$249.42
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
408 shares @ 49.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$185.71
$-14.29
- OPENAI
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
92 shares @ 65.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.38
$-16.62
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
755 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.38
$-709.62
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?
578 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
455 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?
435 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
66 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
56 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.50Jun 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$203.06Jun 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$711.28Jun 13, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$144.93Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$100.93Jun 7, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?$9.21Jun 1, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?$30.41Jun 1, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$63.34Jun 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$65.08May 25, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?$60.84May 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$81.70May 19, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$29.12May 19, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.52May 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$203.24May 11, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.00May 11, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$1.1KMay 11, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$1.0KMay 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$34.66May 10, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$20.30May 10, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?$38.60May 8, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $146.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.