Tangible-Career
0xc4b5a696691684421dacf09f2d13656b64a316b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-14.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?
1155 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Trump say "God" or "Evil" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
580 shares @ 86.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?
567 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
336 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
310 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- UNDER
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
268 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-150.08
- YES
Will Trump say "United States" 2+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?
247 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
183 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$172.41Jun 4, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$297.24Jun 4, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?$0.00Apr 15, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$141.73Mar 8, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$195.37Mar 8, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMReds vs. Cardinals$9.43Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 322: Haddon vs. Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Prelims)$19.61Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani disparage Donald Trump on Friday?$26.67Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$58.82Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$87.32Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$119.05Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMOver $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$217.39Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$304.15Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced by September 30?$441.18Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?$451.01Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$542.30Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$598.26Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "King" or "Queen" 4+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?$666.58Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?$924.17Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$1.2KJan 9, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $55.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".