Simple-Facet
0xc4d6235e3557d4a42cb9f695b0786d14a3c34d88
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$71.89
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
438 shares @ 15.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.99
$-22.73
- YES
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$21.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
419 shares @ 23.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.40
$-92.50
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
9163 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.28
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
2219 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-99.55
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
1307 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-169.91
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 30m?
1240 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-31.50
- YES
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?
1034 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
915 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?
882 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-68.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winner$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs 9INE (BO3)$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs 9INE (BO3)$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs 9INE (BO3)$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$0.00Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 4, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.2KMar 4, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$17.96Feb 28, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$269.65Feb 16, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$499.42Jan 29, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?$6.44Jan 29, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?$3.28Jan 29, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?$0.02Jan 28, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?$8.07Jan 28, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $32.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.