Black-And-White-Happening
0xc4da501d228ed5260bdfaee428f57a4d9aea5fa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$418.76
Total PnL
$240.94
Realised
$220.78
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
400 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$260.00
$4.00
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
230 shares @ 6.8¢·now 26.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$60.49
$44.85
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$49.00
$27.00
- YES
OKX IPO in 2026?
455 shares @ 11.4¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.50
$-6.29
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 13.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.77
$2.60
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
293 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- YES
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?
101 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$65.61Jun 2, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$65.61Jun 2, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$131.23Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$199.60May 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$198.08May 11, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.46Apr 24, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.28Apr 24, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$1.44Apr 24, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$16.95Apr 24, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.06Apr 24, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$8.67Apr 24, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$57.56Apr 24, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$15.00Apr 24, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?$9.63Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$6.16Apr 24, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?$26.10Apr 24, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$15.12Apr 24, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$9.33Apr 24, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$14.02Apr 24, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?$81.43Apr 24, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $35.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.