Somber-Barstool
0xc4e42aa2a29e3d7d369f8e567cab2a09148c8d04
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$20.06
Total PnL
$-0.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
1 shares @ 70.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Grokipedia released by December 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 9, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?$1.00Jan 30, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 26, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$1.00Dec 29, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Dec 23, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Dec 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Texas win the 2025 American Conference Championship Game?$1.00Dec 4, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$1.00Nov 25, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?$1.00Nov 17, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Nov 10, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 5?$1.00Nov 4, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 21, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by December 31?$1.00Oct 13, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$1.10Oct 7, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in August?$1.22Oct 7, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Venezuela" this week? (September 1 - 7)$1.64Oct 7, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$1.00Oct 7, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".