Regal-Song
0xc4f46d4366b59b9175c972d51d0d27744e30447c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$795.75
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-9.27
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
888 shares @ 82.2¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$728.50
$-1.91
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
69 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.25
$0.59
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
3143 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-502.92
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 9, 4PM ET
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
94 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.93
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
91 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.37
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
85 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.05
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 19, 5PM ET
80 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-54.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11PM ET
73 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.56
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1PM ET
65 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$106.35Jun 1, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$97.25May 26, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$97.25May 26, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$108.06May 25, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$66.65May 25, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$735.60May 25, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$907.13May 23, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$49.75May 11, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$829.32May 11, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$881.97May 11, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$873.00May 3, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$873.30May 1, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.01Apr 26, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.01Apr 26, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$893.03Apr 17, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$893.02Apr 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$502.92Mar 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$502.93Mar 25, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$336.62Mar 23, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$336.61Mar 23, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $478.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".