Striking-Sparerib
0xc4fcee721509db5d150839556f863621729b20b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$108.28
Total PnL
$-704.90
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
2188 shares @ 16.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$86.41
$-263.59
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
552 shares @ 14.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.53
$-55.75
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
220 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.33
$-0.77
- YES
Will Solana reach $90 in July?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
9960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
6705 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-56.29
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
6563 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.79
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3354 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?
2637 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-28.88
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.15Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$88.41Jul 11, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $7.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.