Urban-Disaster
0xc507235a7a85c7ef8fbd0a4f828e4d7df31c5d1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5200 shares @ 87.6¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.9K
$-642.98
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3500 shares @ 81.3¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$-1.0K
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?
293 shares @ 34.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$98.16
$-1.67
- YES
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 26.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$94.50
$16.50
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1500 shares @ 7.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.25
$-47.25
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
1000 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
700 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-334.00
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?
500 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?
500 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-127.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
500 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-77.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$129.73Jun 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$19.27Jun 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$81.00Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?$40.00Jun 12, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 11?$299.40Jun 12, 05:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.30Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.42Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$200.00Jun 11, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$199.97Jun 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$289.97Jun 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$14.70Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$31.33Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$306.33Jun 11, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$112.00Jun 11, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$11.37Jun 11, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$6.35Jun 11, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$15.83Jun 11, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$9.38Jun 11, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$7.11Jun 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$7.91Jun 11, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $104.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.