Verifiable-Certainty
0xc50edfa1e95363a99a97386c8629c0aade6fe661
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.76
Total PnL
$-14.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- TEAM LIQUID
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- FAZE
BLAST Open: FaZe vs. G2
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Magic
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Cubs
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ANGELS
Angels vs. Orioles
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- HEROIC
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Mar 7, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?$1.00Mar 7, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$1.00Mar 7, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$1.00Mar 7, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.47Mar 7, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Hawks$1.82Mar 7, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Hawks$1.00Feb 7, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Feb 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Magic$1.00Feb 7, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMArkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$4.08Jan 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYArkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$1.00Dec 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYArkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$1.00Dec 13, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET$0.00Dec 13, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET$1.96Dec 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET$1.00Nov 1, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBraves vs. Nationals$1.69Nov 1, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBLAST Open: FaZe vs. G2$1.00Sep 5, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMLeague of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gaming$0.00Sep 5, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeague of Legends: LOUD vs. RED Canids$1.00Sep 5, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".