Spirited-Priest
0xc5187cb669690150643ba2f9aac6b7d98d212594
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$38.20
Total PnL
$-23.8K
Realised
$13.3K
Win rate
93%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
13230 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.62
$-502.23
- YES
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
12228 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.11
$-464.18
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6949 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.47
$-263.80
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6802 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.40
$-258.20
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6802 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.40
$-258.20
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6649 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.32
$-252.41
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6349 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.17
$-241.02
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
5899 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.95
$-223.94
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
5899 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.95
$-223.93
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
5599 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.80
$-212.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$2.07Jul 28, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$48.15Jul 28, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 28?$4.55Jul 28, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 28?$12.36Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$21.62Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 28?$50.00Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28?$50.00Jul 28, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?$150.00Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 28?$1.45Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5) AND FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. FC Spartak Trnava: Team to Advance AND Will Helsingborgs IF vs. Nordic United FC end in a draw?$11.00Jul 28, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?$2.17Jul 28, 12:39 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Decision in September?$41.95Jul 28, 12:05 UTC
- CONVERSIONBest Chinese AI Company end of July?$100.06Jul 28, 12:04 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 28?$0.12Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- MERGEWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.15Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 29?$0.16Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- MERGEWill Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$0.16Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- MERGEWill a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.18Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- MERGEWill a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.20Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.20Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 56 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
56 closed markets, 93% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $11.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.