Oval-Circuit
0xc51d9d8c2887c8d37c761d88fabba39e893377cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$3.03
Total PnL
$-11.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSeeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.02Jan 26, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 21, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?$1.02Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.03Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.03Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.04Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.04Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.05Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.05Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$3.14Jan 7, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.02Dec 12, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.04Dec 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $84.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.