Gregarious-Deadline
0xc530b18a8c675814ef6e84953b33b167016e49f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.31
Realised
$-1.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?
313 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
38 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$24.35Feb 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.17Jan 28, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: January$3.33Jan 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$20.00Jan 22, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$5.22Jan 21, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$5.00Jan 21, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$2.00Jan 21, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: January$4.00Jan 21, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?$5.00Jan 21, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.74Jan 21, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?$0.90Jan 21, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by January 31?$1.64Jan 21, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell arrested by March 31?$0.78Jan 21, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.94Jan 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?$18.91Jan 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.05Jan 21, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Iran next?$0.98Jan 21, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?$20.00Jan 20, 22:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 21:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.