Rubbery-Curio
0xc54ad215c349334060210b6e047ac68bd8be5a08
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$365.98
Total PnL
$-45.14
Realised
$7.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?
154 shares @ 50.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$41.53
$-35.37
- NO
Will the Athletics clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
41 shares @ 82.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$39.69
$5.87
- NO
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?
41 shares @ 81.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2026$38.13
$4.58
- NO
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
41 shares @ 82.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$34.23
$0.52
- YES
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
151 shares @ 15.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.77
$6.06
- YES
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?
57 shares @ 19.3¢·now 40.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$23.07
$12.11
- YES
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?
108 shares @ 38.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$22.14
$-19.68
- NO
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
39 shares @ 47.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.14
$-0.29
- NO
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$14.70
$1.70
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$13.90
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?$2.60Jul 29, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$0.00Jul 29, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?$28.69Jul 29, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?$33.70Jul 29, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$92.72Jul 29, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$5.84Jul 29, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?$3.89Jul 29, 01:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.48Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$39.16Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?$0.28Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$98.56Jul 28, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Energy" during Big Brother E10?$0.00Jul 28, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $87.5B by July 31?$0.00Jul 28, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Future feature Morgan Wallen on "The Real Me"?$0.00Jul 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?$43.10Jul 28, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?$64.80Jul 28, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?$63.72Jul 28, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?$1.99Jul 28, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager?$60.50Jul 28, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager?$61.86Jul 28, 05:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $32.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 15:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.