Sick-Tax
0xc56a26a4881a3d6ba9cb07de712f7d14df6465fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-450.58
Realised
$1.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
32500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-73.42
- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
2990 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- NO
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
2081 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-116.32
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
1024 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-212.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Harry Styles have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
260 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
260 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
249 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
114 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$61.40Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$5.14May 29, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand win?$55.87May 29, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win?$39.70May 28, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$11.71May 28, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals$51.43May 28, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals$50.43May 27, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$10.30May 26, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings$60.64May 26, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings$57.10May 23, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$7.34May 23, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$9.25May 23, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$58.99May 23, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$4.62May 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$15.24May 18, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.00May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.96May 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$6.43Apr 7, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$6.42Apr 7, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$5.14Apr 1, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $21.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.