Polite-Network
0xc5c3473950a0239d2153dc9ca72d787a37c7a202
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$49.12
Total PnL
$-105.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$25.25
$-14.75
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.73
$12.73
- NO
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
1 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
526 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
56 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 5?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
12 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$7.25May 6, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.11May 6, 14:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 17, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 16, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 15, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 14, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 13, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 12, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 11, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 10, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 8, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 7, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 6, 00:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 4, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 3, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $3.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 21:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 15:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.