Ornate-Bower
0xc5d6f44a461863b7aa9298d942f41f13de064c19
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$133.04
Total PnL
$-969.03
Realised
$6.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
66 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$65.57
$25.57
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
37 shares @ 27.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$36.63
$26.63
- YES
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
31 shares @ 64.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$30.83
$10.83
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
1689 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
1073 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
346 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-286.55
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
260 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
184 shares @ 86.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-159.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
161 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-31.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$10.36May 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.24May 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$21.54May 16, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$9.30May 16, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$20.35May 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$20.74May 16, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$20.99May 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$40.78May 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$71.40May 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$15.71May 16, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$290.14Apr 3, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$290.15Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$278.27Apr 3, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$10.00Apr 3, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$78.05Apr 3, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$10.00Apr 2, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $64.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.