Subdued-Kohlrabi
0xc5fa3dfe3aaa81b6ec49ead6f00d9ae6e4a19795
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$9.1K
Total PnL
$403.06
Realised
$-47.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
592 shares @ 77.6¢·now 88.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$525.53
$65.53
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
847 shares @ 59.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$521.19
$21.19
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
545 shares @ 91.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$498.38
$-1.62
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
503 shares @ 87.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$475.16
$37.44
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
530 shares @ 75.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$468.94
$68.94
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
421 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$420.84
$20.84
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
440 shares @ 94.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$402.83
$-12.17
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
436 shares @ 91.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$394.56
$-5.44
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
429 shares @ 70.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$392.14
$92.14
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
408 shares @ 85.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$357.40
$7.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$886.83Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$52.26Jul 29, 20:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$52.01Jul 28, 12:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$51.88Jul 24, 17:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?$25.08Jul 21, 22:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?$100.32Jul 21, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?$100.56Jul 21, 07:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$501.62Jul 20, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$722.37Jul 19, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$180.22Jul 19, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $110.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 01:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.