Snappy-Rooster
0xc602e34792d9a5e129f3404daef2df43d1d37fc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.4K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$3.0K
Win rate
62%
149 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$467.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$462.49
$-2.50
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
499 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$459.70
$2.49
- NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$447.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
489 shares @ 90.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$442.97
$0.24
- NO
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
500 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$438.51
$-6.50
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
500 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$435.01
$0.00
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
436 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$433.40
$17.74
- NO
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
485 shares @ 90.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$407.40
$-29.10
- NO
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
436 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$403.15
$-2.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Francisco Lindor be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?$16.35Jul 30, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?$173.80Jul 30, 10:33 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 31?$21.27Jul 30, 10:32 UTC
- MERGEJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?$60.66Jul 30, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Francisco Lindor be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?$16.01Jul 30, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 31?$2.00Jul 30, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 31?$1.00Jul 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?$4.42Jul 30, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by July 31?$7.50Jul 30, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Allah again by July 31?$25.34Jul 30, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$3.10Jul 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$3.92Jul 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?$48.27Jul 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?$5.76Jul 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?$55.66Jul 30, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?$2.71Jul 30, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?$3.30Jul 30, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Francisco Lindor be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?$15.64Jul 30, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 31?$19.57Jul 30, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$2.53Jul 30, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 149 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
149 closed markets, 62% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $24.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 149 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.