Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

1. 1

   Up 2pp over 24h

   Now 24¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 4402h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $18.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.