Honest-Dough
0xc6235bdff6040eedaac00d94035f51b08a8143e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.05
Total PnL
$-173.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
130 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 60°F or higher on January 22?
93 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
54 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
45 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
40 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on January 22?
37 shares @ 81.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
21 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
11 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.00Apr 12, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$12.20Apr 12, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.68Apr 12, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$18.58Feb 16, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$14.38Feb 15, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$51.79Feb 15, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$3.45Feb 15, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $15.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 23:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".