Smoggy-Injustice
0xc6409b19b111687b42f63102b551910377d2ccbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$346.20
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-520.42
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
184 shares @ 54.4¢·now 65.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$120.28
$20.28
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
1133 shares @ 18.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.30
$-96.70
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1281 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.87
$-57.63
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-6.25
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?
383 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-94.58
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
370 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-255.00
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?
220 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.31
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
214 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $176.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.