Tempting-Wannabe
0xc64b99312c6a0d323903c32ac565167ef2b6516d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$1.28
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
39%
116 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
37 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.28
$0.09
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
12 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.24
$0.08
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
39 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.22
$-0.20
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
27 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.20
$-0.25
- YES
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 3.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.11
$0.02
- YES
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
163 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.08
$-0.45
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?
160 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.34
- YES
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
4 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$0.03
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.03
$-0.00
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
8 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$-0.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.39May 28, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.49May 28, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.18May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.34May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.43May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.45May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.50May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.62May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$0.54May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.57May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.52May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.58May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.77May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.59May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.82May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.82May 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$0.86May 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.02May 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.05May 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.24May 28, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 116 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".