0xc67a7ec12f9982d17ce8063b3c4ad766cc37f0b6
0xc67a7ec12f9982d17ce8063b3c4ad766cc37f0b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.7M
Realised
$-40.1K
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
3030389 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.4M
- NO
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
2105492 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-999.8K
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
1543858 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-699.9K
- OVER
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
1106717 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-499.9K
- PORTUGAL
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
929863 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-492.4K
- NORWAY
Spread: France (-1.5)
925924 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-499.5K
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
800000 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-496.0K
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-1.5)
392155 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.0K
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
300000 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-146.0K
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
200000 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-108.0K
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$19.8KJul 8, 23:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$663.28Jun 30, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$10.32Jun 30, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 29, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$723.30Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$22.81Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$328.93Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$49.11Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$25.00Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$11.3KJun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$112.87Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$6.4KJun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$22.8KJun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$12.7KJun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$3.00Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$25.00Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$9.2KJun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$2.00Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$25.00Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$25.00Jun 29, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 23:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.